Tom Lee reaffirms Bitcoin will hit a fresh all-time high before January 31, 2025
Current BTC price sits at ~$86,400 after a 76% YTD surge.
December historically delivers strong Bitcoin gains and reduced selling pressure.
Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder Tom Lee just dropped a bold reminder that has the crypto community buzzing: Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high before the end of January 2025. The prediction, originally made earlier this year and reiterated on CNBC this week, now looks closer than ever with BTC trading at approximately $86,427 and only needing roughly 25% more to eclipse the March 2024 peak of ~$73,750 (some data providers mark the true ATH closer to $73,800–$74,000). At current levels, that target suddenly feels within striking distance.
Lee’s conviction rests on multiple tailwinds. Institutional adoption continues to accelerate, spot Bitcoin ETFs have absorbed billions in 2024, and the macro backdrop looks increasingly favorable with potential Fed rate cuts still on the table into 2025. Equally important is seasonality: December has historically been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months, with average returns exceeding 30% in bull cycles and significantly reduced tax-loss harvesting pressure after November sell-offs conclude.
The market seems to be listening. Since the U.S. election in early November, Bitcoin has already rallied more than 40%, fueled by pro-crypto policy expectations under a Republican-led administration and Treasury. The fear of missing out (FOMO) is palpable as retail and institutional players alike rush to position themselves before year-end bonuses, performance fees, and window-dressing kick in. Skeptics will point out that Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break its previous ATH for extended periods in the past, sometimes taking 12–18 months. Yet the current cycle differs markedly from 2021–2022.
Exchange balances are at multi-year lows, long-term holders refuse to sell, and stablecoin liquidity is flooding back into the ecosystem. If Lee is right, the path of least resistance appears sharply higher. With only 31 days left in January once the new year begins, the clock is ticking. A push past $90,000 in December would almost certainly trigger the cascade of short squeezes and momentum buying needed to clear the final hurdle. Crypto Twitter is already flooded with “Tom Lee loading” memes, and for good reason.
Whether you’re a believer or remain on the sidelines, one thing is clear: the next eight weeks could define the entire 2024–2025 bull run. If Fundstrat’s flagship analyst is correct again (and his track record in this cycle has been remarkably strong), Bitcoin holders are about to witness history before the confetti from New Year’s Eve even hits the ground.
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Nikolai Carter
